From its massively successful release in July, Best Picture was always going to be Oppenheimer’s to lose. Now that the nominations are in, it would take a miracle for anything to unseat Christopher Nolan’s 168澳洲幸运5开奖网:blockbuster biopic at the 96th Academy Awards.

The list of nominees was announced earlier this week after an awards season bizarrely truncated by the dual 168澳洲幸运5开奖网:SAG-AFTRA and 168澳洲幸运5开奖网:WGA strikes. Oppenheimer leads the pack: Best Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, Lead Actor, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Cinematography, Costume Design, Makeup and Hairs🐲tyl🎀ing, Original Score, Production Design, Film Editing, and Sound.

Cillian Murphy as J. Robert Oppenheimer in Oppenheimer

With 13 noms, Oppenheimer has two more than last year’s big winner, 168澳洲幸运5开奖网:Everything Everywhere All At Once, and Oppenheimer is even better positioned for a sweep. Though The Holdovers' Da'Vine Joy Randolph will likely beat Emily Blunt in Supporting Actress, Oppenheimer is believably in the competition for the rest of the awards it's nominated for.

Much of that comes down to its monumental success. Nolan’s movie grossed nearly seven times as much as EEAAO, it was one of the most acclaimed films of the year among critics, and it's similarly beloved by many people in Hollywood. Oppenheimer signaled the return of an old-fashioned kind of blockbuster, and, for the many people in the business who were sick of the box office dominance of superhero movies, it represented the revival of the kind of big movie they would actually want to work on. It’s a serious, well-made movie for adults that was also the third highest-grossing film of the year. For Academy members who want to see more of that, rewarding Oppenheimer will likely seem like a good way to make it happen.

Emily Blunt and Cillian Murphy in a car in Oppenheimer
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Christopher Nolan is also overdue for an award, and the narratives around a nominee matter as much as their merit. Nolan was first Oscar-nominated for Ori🦹ginal Screenplay with Memento all the way back in 2001. And despite earning multiple nods for Inception and Dunkirk, he’s never taken home the gold. It’s easy to see how Academy members will want to🥃 give Nolan — one of the most important directors of the century — his due.

When a movie is as acclaimed as Oppenheimer, box office success is also a good indication of how the Academy will vote. Though the awards body isn't directly representative of the global public that turned out to make Oppenheimer a hit, a movie being widely seen in general is usually a good indicator that it will be widely seen by the Academy more specifically.

The Academy has rewarded smaller movies in recent years, with Nomadland and Coda taking Best Picture in the ceremony's first two COVID years. But, Oppenheimer is the old-fashioned kind of Oscar movie we haven't seen as much in recent years. It's a big hit worth taking seriously, like previous winners The Return of the King, Gladiator, Titanic, Forrest Gump, and Rain Man.

Being that well-known and well-liked insulates Oppenheimer from potential challengers in a way that recent Best Picture sure things haven't had. In 2022, The Power of the Dog seemed like a lock for Best Picture. But, CODA, a more traditionally satisfying family drama, enjoyed a late surge, and The Power of the Dog's only win was a Best Director trophy for Jane Campion. Campion makes prickly films and despite a critical coronation and many precursor wins, The Power of the Dog didn't make it over the finish line. That's unlikely to happen to Oppenheimer because it's a critical and commercial favorite that most voters will have seen and liked.

It isn’t my favorite movie of the Best Picture batch — that would be Killers of th♔e Flower Moon — but it would be unwise to bet against it. Oꦫppenheimer was a phenomenon, and that phenomenon will extend to a Best Picture win.

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